It’s been many years since navigating my first college statistics course. One of the first understandings gleaned from which being the high probability that I was going to fail statistics. Fortunately for the innumerate, our own native faculties provide a rudimentary, though highly accurate, version of that discipline.
Without either a calculator or Nate Silver, most of us are able to ascertain with some reliability the likely outcomes of most given decision trees. And likelihood isn’t certainty–as angels aren’t washing in my bird bath.
That’s an important concept to keep in mind. I don’t in fact know that diving onto the lawn from my roof will result in a less pleasant afternoon than boating at the lake–as the latter could involve being mortally shaved by an outboard propeller. But life is just a series of decisions made with imperfect knowledge. And making those decisions based on preening rather than probability is what separates us from the bigots.
One of the most certain probabilities are the results of introducing hostile and highly tribal peoples into a formerly homogenous environment. The resulting friction occurs with the reliability of a metronome, and always according to well catalogued profiles of each element.
An observer can make highly accurate predictions about the likely group behaviors of jews, muslims, or mestizos without devoting a moment to inspection of character contents. It’s quite an amazing culture-cheat for those too lazy to conduct a thorough psychological profile of each individual in the subject cohort.
In a more specific context, we can use our intuitive statistics to approximate the likelihood of certain events. Such as muslims murdering their European hosts, and leftists assigning blame to the right. Both now being in the same strata of probability as the predictions of calendars and clocks. That is to say, high. New examples are added almost daily.
There was, of course, the Nice massacre. And yesterday, an ax attack on a German train. 19 people injured, some critically, by a 17 year-old Akbarring Afghani. After so many victims of truck violence, liberals are compelled to pivot quickly to the imperative of ax control. Any malign human agency in these attacks is found only in the nationalists who take exception.
And now, as the beat-counter increases its pace, a French mother and her three young daughters have been stabbed, potentially fatally, by a Frenchman (sotto voce) of Moroccan descent. Just as French as any other peripatetic african, you should know.
And since the French state is assiduous in burying facts along with bodies, we are left to rely once again only upon native intuition in assessing these events. What does yours say about the probability of eight year-old French girls being stabbed on vacation absent men of Moroccan descent?
Of course throughout the West judiciaries stand as sturdy bulwarks against the rise of stab-resistant whites. In America, we have a constitution that protects the sacred rights of what three jews, one latina, and a dementia-American say it protects. In Europe, these safeguards must be assembled ad hoc. Here’s one example from Germany.
Judge: Instant Jail Term if you Criticise Migrants Again
Peter M. founded a secret group called AFB (Anti Refugee Movement) about a year ago on Facebook. As a secret group, people who are not members of it would have been unable to see its content. He and his wife Melanie were administrators of the Facebook group, so both had to attend the court on charges of sedition.
The offending Facebook page’s founding statement was read out in the courtroom. Written by Peter M. it read: “The war and economic refugees are flooding our country. They bring terror, fear, sorrow. They rape our women and put our children at risk. Bring an end to it!”.
Raiding the couple’s flat, their computing items and digital storage were seized by the criminal investigation department in Furstenfeldbruck.
In court, Peter M. and Melanie’s 10-month-old son sat on his mother’s lap and the pair had no one legally defending them. The barrister had resigned before the trial.
Scolding the pair, Judge Neubeck said: “The description of the group is a series of generalisations with a clear right-wing background.”
The Judge sentenced Peter M. to serve a nine month suspended prison sentence, on probation. Melanie was ordered to pay a fine of €1,200.
“I hope you are clear on the seriousness of the situation. If you sit again in front of me on the dock, you will go to jail,” Judge Neubeck warned.
Well if the generalizations are that clearly right-wing, the couple should thank providence they aren’t dangling from the gallows. What if their page had gotten six million likes?
Though it is interesting the judge explicitly correlates right-wing with illegality in a way he almost certainly does not with the bearers of whirling ax blades. In fact, had this German couple been seated beside the Afghani lumberjack, the most pressing criminal activity occurring on that train would have been their facebook posts complaining about being dismembered. What was the probability it would have come to this?
Reasonably high actually. The German judge, his malevolent mistress, and the earth-burrowing slugs Hollande and Valls are all loyal creatures. Loyal to an ideology. That this fidelity conflicts utterly with the interests–and increasingly the lives–of their people is cause only to redouble efforts in the face of mounting obstacles.
When eight year-old girls are put on ventilators or smeared on sidewalks by North Africans, it is a time to grieve–for the right-wing Internet comments that may result. To western leaders, lives are disposable and their nations artificial. Only globalist liberalism has a soul. And these disciples tend to it devoutly.
It should be a piquant reminder of where probability suggests a leader loyal to ideology rather than a people will eventually lead their flock: Guyana. Merkel is just trying to save her nation the plane fare.