I’ll put this up to house any discussion on the election results tonight. If forced to speculate, I imagine Trump will underperform his polls as occurred in Iowa. It’s analogous to the logic in my old post on the Scottish independence vote. Amidst those razor-thin projections, I predicted a fairly easy win for union retention. And that’s exactly what happened. The human soul yearns for familiarity–even as it kills him.
What’s so cosmically ironic is that familiarity and continuity are precisely what Trump’s wall and other “far-right” propositions seek to provide. Though once people have been politically caned for so long they come to recoil from caress.
It was also in New Hampshire 24 years ago that the insurgent candidacy of Pat Buchanan erupted on the inchoate cuckservatism of HW Bush. Though fractious voting sheep were subsequently corralled back into their abattoir by friendly and reliable assessments of racism, anti-semitism, and xylophobe.
Of course this was before it became obvious that any attempts by white America to claw out of its grave would be received with equal apprehension. Thus being assured that Buchanan’s advocacy of their interests was a very bad thing indeed, Republicans dutifully rejected him in favor of a Bush clan all-too-eager to prove that constituent welfare was hardly a top priority. Give Jeb credit at least for the honesty of his malice; there’s not even the pretense he will advance your cause. And if his recent bump in the polls is any indication, a candid disdain may be exactly what the people of New Hampshire seek. Just keep playing that old familiar song.